Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.286004 15.022881 17.034555 19.570227 22.730778 26.610799 31.851298
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.638549 13.866155 16.674614 20.587038 26.096079 33.931291 46.694779
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.987360 12.233635 15.199423 19.574764 26.211116 36.609961 56.035339
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.073035 11.373645 14.532358 19.432722 27.390021 41.092096 70.702383
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.328537 10.628969 13.885941 19.148431 28.197802 45.141278 87.319336
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.791344 10.103844 13.470140 19.118338 29.380425 50.291729 111.186438
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.410022 9.756907 13.265857 19.376443 31.119588 57.330766 149.419327
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.906707 9.181049 12.639258 18.806900 31.107165 60.347858 178.982919
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.579269 8.841443 12.348548 18.780753 32.192634 66.698505 237.815438
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.161669 8.332000 11.734560 18.077835 31.660675 68.364429 277.407467
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.733192 7.779717 11.008431 17.083655 30.292724 67.031943 295.369930
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.386073 7.336462 10.434662 16.323810 29.346533 66.765652 324.929738
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.536460 7.703488 11.282059 18.496135 36.150798 98.733362 1169.260140
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.463960 7.703999 11.494860 19.434768 40.263504 127.003654 5899.600463
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.137237 7.262509 10.876883 18.506356 38.813470 126.460677 10098.208455
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.945966 7.036755 10.634998 18.375970 39.733410 140.793826 652260.140292
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.753785 6.798316 10.351169 18.114854 40.190977 153.514144 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.605826 6.626762 10.178952 18.087204 41.415455 174.410400 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.500093 6.521413 10.123073 18.324292 43.643993 209.714280 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.315211 6.269456 9.768535 17.800938 43.016225 217.657164 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.197986 6.130360 9.624153 17.776895 44.261664 250.652327 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.021150 5.878913 9.245243 17.129991 42.947875 249.963543 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.824402 5.586032 8.772450 16.213193 40.421134 230.079791 NaN